Low threat for Tropical Development expected thanks to Saharan dust

2 months ago 18

July 13

9 a.m. update The Tropics volition stay quiescent owed to an summation successful Saharan dust.

However, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring 1 country of disturbed upwind respective 100 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Environmental conditions are lone marginally favorable for tropical improvement astatine this time. Formation likelihood astatine 10% during the adjacent 5 days.

July 12

9 a.m. update
Quiet successful the tropics arsenic Saharan particulate covering overmuch of the Atlantic and Caribbean volition inhibit tropical improvement implicit the adjacent 5 days.

July 11

10 a.m. update
With Saharan particulate blanketing overmuch of the Atlantic and Caribbean, tropical improvement is not expected implicit the adjacent 5 days.

July 10

10 a.m. update
With the remnants of Elsa clearing distant from New England, we're near with quiescent upwind crossed the tropics. No improvement is expected implicit the adjacent 5 days.

July 9

7 a.m. update
Elsa remains a Tropical Storm and is expected to determination implicit eastbound Long Island and the confederate New England outgo contiguous earlier heading offshore precocious this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds were adjacent 50 mph with higher gusts. No important alteration successful spot is expected done today.

July 8

8 a.m. update
Elsa remains a Tropical Storm arsenic it moves crossed the Carolinas. Torrential rains whitethorn effect successful flash flooding on with tropical tempest conditions that volition grow from the Mid-Atlantic into New England Thursday and Friday.

The strategy should determination implicit Atlantic Canada by Friday nighttime and Saturday.

July 7

4 p.m. update
Elsa made landfall this greeting adjacent Horseshoe Beach successful Florida arsenic a tropical storm. Elsa remains a tropical storms arsenic it moves N astatine 14 mph into Georgia with max winds of 45 mph. Elsa should proceed to way done Georgia & South Carolina done Wednesday nighttime into Thursday greeting and volition proceed to the northwest done the extremity of the week. Elsa is expected to weaken backmost to a slump implicit North Carolina earlier intensifying backmost into a tropical tempest earlier moving disconnected the eastbound coast.

4 a.m. update
Elsa has weakened backmost successful to a Tropical Storm, but is inactive battering the westbound seashore of the Florida Peninsula this morning, poised marque landfall aboriginal contiguous northbound of Tampa.

July 6

7 p.m. update
Elsa has intensified backmost into a class 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Elsa is expected to marque landfall adjacent oregon northbound of Tampa, Florida Wednesday arsenic a hurricane.

10 a.m. update
Elsa has maintained tropical tempest spot contiguous with a 60mph max winds and a cardinal unit of 1007mb's. Clear of immoderate enactment from land, Elsa volition dilatory fortify successful the eastbound Gulf of Mexico done aboriginal time morning, making landfall connected the westbound seashore of Florida aboriginal Wednesday arsenic a precocious extremity tropical tempest oregon debased extremity hurricane.

July 5

10 a.m. update
Elsa remains a Tropical Storm with 65mph winds arsenic it moves northwest astatine 14mph towards Cuba. Elsa volition transverse implicit Cuba today, apt weakening arsenic it does so, past look successful the Eastern Gulf of Mexico earlier making landfall successful Florida.

July 4

7 a.m. update
Elsa remains astatine Tropical Storm spot this morning, winds are 65mph with a cardinal unit up to 1007mb's. The guardant velocity has much than halved successful the past 24 hours, down to conscionable 13mph to the WNW. Models are coming successful to bully statement astir landfall successful Florida, apt arsenic a tropical storm, aft crossing Cuba.

July 3

7 p.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa continues to determination WNW astatine 23 mph done the Caribbean. Elsa presently has max upwind speeds of 70 mph. The latest way from the NHC puts Tropical Storm Elsa adjacent the Florida Keys precocious Monday nighttime into aboriginal Tuesday.

10 a.m. update
Elsa has weakened and has returned to tropical tempest presumption arsenic conditions deteriorate implicit portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. At 11 a.m. CDT, Elsa was located astir 40 miles southbound of Isla Beata Dominican Republic and 350 miles eastbound of Kingston, Jamaica. Maximum sustained winds were 70 mph and the strategy was moving west-northwest astatine 29 mph.

July 2

7 a.m. update
Elsa has strengthened to a hurricane, making it the archetypal hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic season.

No interaction is expected on the Texas coast. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center says that Elsa's maximum sustained winds person accrued to adjacent 75 mph.

A Hurricane Warning has been issued for Barbados, St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and St. Lucia.

July 1

11 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa formed Thursday greeting successful the Atlantic Ocean and is presently astir 680 miles ESE of the Windward Islands.

The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center recovered Elsa had maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hr and is racing westward astatine 28 miles per hour.

Over the adjacent time oregon 2 Elsa is expected to velocity up, tracking toward the Windward Islands and the confederate Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Elsa is expected to get astatine those islands sometime Friday.

A Tropical Storm Warning is successful effect for Barbados, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

July 1

8:30 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa formed Thursday greeting successful the Atlantic Ocean implicit 700 miles ESE of the Windward Islands.

The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center recovered Elsa had maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hr and moving rapidly westward astatine 25 miles per hour.

Over the adjacent time oregon 2 Elsa is expected to velocity up, tracking toward the Windward Islands and the confederate Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Elsa is expected to get astatine those islands sometime Friday.

A Tropical Storm Warning is successful effect for Barbados, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

July 1

6:30 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa formed Thursday greeting successful the Atlantic Ocean.

Elsa's July 1 enactment is the earliest for immoderate fifth-named tempest connected record, breaking a grounds acceptable past twelvemonth by Edouard.

The 5 a.m. update from the National Hurricane Center recovered Elsa had maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hr and is located astir 865 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands.

Over the adjacent time oregon 2 Elsa is expected to velocity up, tracking toward the Windward Islands and the confederate Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Elsa is expected to get astatine those islands sometime Friday.

A Tropical Storm Warning is successful effect for Barbados, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

It's inactive excessively aboriginal to archer if and erstwhile the strategy volition marque landfall successful the contiguous United States, but preliminary forecasts amusement Elsa could get astatine the confederate extremity of Florida astir Tuesday.

June 30

10 p.m. update
Tropical Depression 5 has formed astir 1,100 miles eastbound of the Windward Islands successful the cardinal Atlantic. It's expected to go Tropical Storm Elsa Thursday.

June 30

4 p.m. update
Potential Storm Five has formed successful the cardinal Atlantic 1,195 miles eastbound of the Windward Islands. The strategy is expected to determination into the eastbound Caribbean Friday afternoon, past perchance into the eastbound Gulf precocious Monday. At this time, the tempest does not look to beryllium a menace to the precocious Texas coast. We will, of course, support a adjacent oculus connected it.

June 30

8 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring 2 tropical waves successful the tropical Atlantic. The tropical question closest to the Lesser Antilles has a debased accidental for improvement during the adjacent 5 days. Formation likelihood astatine 10%.

Meanwhile, the strategy located respective 100 miles eastbound of the Windward Islands has a 60% accidental for tropical improvement during the adjacent 48 hours, 80% accidental during the adjacent 5 days. Atmospheric conditions remian favorable for imaginable tropical improvement during the adjacent fewer days, and a tropical slump is apt to signifier arsenic the strategy moves west-northwest astatine astir 20 mph.

June 29

8 a.m. update
Danny has dissipated however, lingering moisture from this strategy volition effect successful periods of dense rainfall for parts of Georgia and Alabama connected Tuesday.

The National Hurricane Center is besides monitoring 2 tropical waves successful the tropical Atlantic. Slow improvement volition beryllium imaginable with some of these systems. The tropical question closest to the Lesser Antilles has a mean accidental for improvement during the adjacent 5 days. Formation likelihood astatine 40%. Meanwhile, the strategy southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has a 20% accidental for tropical development.

June 28

2 p.m. update
Tropical slump 4 has strengthened to Tropical Storm Danny with 40 mph winds. Danny volition proceed to determination west, making landfall successful South Carolina this evening.

10 a.m. update
Tropical Depression Four has formed conscionable disconnected the eastbound seashore with upwind speeds of 35 mph and is moving WNW astatine 16 mph. It is expected to go a tropical tempest earlier making landfall successful South Carolina Monday night. A tropical tempest informing is successful effect for the South Carolina coast.

9 a.m. update
The highest accidental for tempest improvement is from a strategy disconnected the eastbound seashore of the US, astir 250 miles ESE of Savannah Georgia. That strategy has a 70% accidental of improvement successful the adjacent 5 days, but volition not beryllium impacting the Gulf of Mexico. Another strategy successful the Atlantic has a 40% accidental of development.

June 27

5 a.m. update
We're inactive monitoring a question disconnected the seashore of Africa, but the accidental for improvement remains low, conscionable 30% implicit the adjacent 5 days. Another country of imaginable improvement disconnected the eastbound seaboard has a 20% accidental for development, but poses nary menace to the Gulf.

June 26

8 a.m. update
We're inactive monitoring a question disconnected the seashore of Africa, but the accidental for improvement is conscionable 10% implicit the adjacent 5 days.

June 25

8 a.m. update
A beardown tropical question is located conscionable disconnected the seashore of Africa. Showers and thunderstorms with this strategy are disorganized and development, if immoderate volition beryllium dilatory to occur.

Formation likelihood are debased astatine 20%. This question is expected to determination westbound to north-west astatine 15 to 20 mph toward the cardinal Atlantic done the mediate of adjacent week.

June 24

8 a.m. update
There are 2 areas of disturbed upwind that the National Hurricane Center volition show implicit the adjacent 5 days.

A tropical question eastbound of Barbados remains disorganized and lone has a 10% accidental for tropical development.

A stronger tropical question has emerged disconnected the seashore of Africa and has a mean accidental for improvement during the adjacent 5 days. Formation likelihood astatine 40%. A tiny tropical slump could signifier by aboriginal adjacent week portion the strategy moves west.

June 23

8 a.m. update
Much of the Atlantic is quiescent for now. A tropical question respective 100 miles eastbound of the Windward Islands remains disorganized.

Formation likelihood person decreased to 10% and the improvement of this strategy is improbable arsenic it tracks toward the west-northwest.

June 22

9 a.m. update
Claudette is rapidly moving distant from the eastbound seashore and volition proceed to to weaken connected Tuesday.

Meanwhile, monitoring different country of disturbed upwind successful the Atlantic good eastbound of the Lesser Antilles for a 30% accidental of improvement portion it tracks west.

June 21

4 p.m. update
Claudette is rapidly moving distant from the eastbound coast. Now that it's moving towards cooler water, it volition dilatory weaken into a slump connected Tuesday. Another disturbance successful the Atlantic good eastbound of the Lesser Antilles has a 30% accidental of processing arsenic it moves west.

June 21

4 a.m. update
Claudette has regained Tropical Storm spot and presumption with 40mph winds arsenic it moves crossed North Carolina. The strategy volition proceed pushing eastbound and beryllium disconnected eastbound seaboard aboriginal today.

June 20

7 a.m. update
Tropical Depression
Claudette continues to determination toward the east-northeast implicit the Deep South astatine astir 13 mph. It's expected to determination implicit the seashore of North Carolina by Monday and into the occidental Atlantic Ocean. Maximum sustained winds remained adjacent 30 mph and immoderate re-strengthening was expected tonight.

5 a.m. update
Tropical Depression Claudette is located implicit Alabama and moving eastbound successful to Georgia this morning. The tempest presently has winds of 30mph, but is forecast to regain spot and go a Tropical Storm again connected Monday, Tropical Storm Warnings are successful effect for coastal North Carolina and parts of South Carolina.

June 19

4 p.m. update
Claudette is present a tropical slump with 35 mph winds, but it volition proceed to bring dense rains to states successful the Southeast. The debased unit circulation should past its trek crossed the Appalachian Mountains, and it could regain tropical tempest spot adjacent the Carolinas erstwhile it moves implicit the Atlantic Ocean. A Tropical Storm Watch is present successful effect on the North Carolina coastline from Cape Fear to Duck. Moisture extending southwest from Claudette implicit the Gulf should stroke into Southeast Texas Sunday, bringing america a accidental for scattered downpours connected Father's Day.

June 19

11 a.m. update
Claudette remains a Tropical Storm with winds of 40mph aft moving inland, the halfway of circulation is implicit Mississippi, with the heaviest of the rainfall pushing done the Florida Panhandle. This tempest volition determination briskly east-northeast implicit the adjacent 48 hours, continuing to wide distant from Texas.

7 a.m. update
Claudette moved inland implicit southeast Louisiana overnight, bringing tropical storm-force winds and flooding rains to that region. Tropical Storm Warnings were inactive successful effect for the Louisiana seashore and extended eastward to Florida. Maximum sustained winds were adjacent 45 mph hr with higher gusts. The areas of Covington, Mandeville, Slidell, and different communities on the northbound enactment of Lake Pontchartrain successful Louisiana were experiencing the nonstop impacts of the tempest Saturday morning.

The strategy is expected to marque a crook toward the northeast aboriginal contiguous and weaken to a tropical depression.

4 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Claudette has formed arsenic it makes landfall successful SE Louisiana. Claudette presently has 45mph winds, and is bringing the heaviest rainfall successful to Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. Tropical Storm Warnings agelong from Louisiana to panhandle of Florida. Impacts successful Texas are minimal, but we volition spot unsafe rip currents connected our beaches this morning, a formation hazard connection has been issued done 10am.

June 18

7a.m. update
Outer rainfall bands from Potential Storm Three volition interaction coastal areas on the bluish Gulf seashore opening Friday morning.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Gulf Coast from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans.

All of the terrible impacts volition enactment eastbound of Texas, but we inactive person elevated tides Friday and a tiny accidental for rain. The champion section accidental for rainfall related to this imaginable tempest volition travel connected Father's Day, agelong aft it has made landfall. If your question plans instrumentality you eastbound of Texas anyplace from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle this weekend, present are the predicted impacts from the National Hurricane Center:

RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are imaginable opening Friday and continuing done the play from the Central Gulf seashore northeastward into the Southern Appalachians. This volition apt nutrient areas of flash, urban, and tiny watercourse flooding arsenic good arsenic insignificant to isolated mean stream flooding with caller and renewed rises connected already elevated rivers.

STORM SURGE: The operation of tempest surge and the tide volition origin usually adust areas adjacent the seashore to beryllium flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The h2o could scope the pursuing heights supra crushed determination successful the indicated areas if the highest surge occurs astatine the clip of precocious tide...

Intracoastal City, LA to MS/AL Border...2-3 ft Vermilion Bay and Lake Borgne...2-3 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas...1-2 ft MS/AL borderline to AL/FL borderline including Mobile Bay...1-3 ft Cameron, LA to Intracoastal City, LA...1-2 ft

Surge-related flooding depends connected the comparative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and tin alteration greatly implicit abbreviated distances. For accusation circumstantial to your area, delight spot products issued by your section National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical tempest conditions are expected to archetypal scope the seashore wrong the informing country connected Friday afternoon, making extracurricular preparations hard oregon dangerous.

TORNADOES: The menace for a mates tornadoes should statesman Friday day crossed coastal Louisiana. This menace should grow northward crossed confederate portions of Louisiana and Mississippi, and southwest Alabama connected Saturday.

June 17

9:45 p.m. update
There is precise small alteration to the forecast for Potential Storm Three. It remains disorganized, but it is predicted to go Tropical Storm Claudette sometime Friday.

June 17

3:45 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center conscionable issued their archetypal forecast for Potential Storm Three.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Gulf Coast from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans.

All of the terrible impacts volition enactment eastbound of Texas, but we inactive person elevated tides Friday and a tiny accidental for rain. The champion section accidental for rainfall related to this imaginable tempest volition travel connected Father's Day, agelong aft it has made landfall. If your question plans instrumentality you eastbound of Texas anyplace from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle this weekend, present are the predicted impacts from the National Hurricane Center:

RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are imaginable opening Friday and continuing done the play from the Central Gulf seashore northeastward into the Southern Appalachians. This volition apt nutrient areas of flash, urban, and tiny watercourse flooding arsenic good arsenic insignificant to isolated mean stream flooding with caller and renewed rises connected already elevated rivers.

STORM SURGE: The operation of tempest surge and the tide volition origin usually adust areas adjacent the seashore to beryllium flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The h2o could scope the pursuing heights supra crushed determination successful the indicated areas if the highest surge occurs astatine the clip of precocious tide...

Intracoastal City, LA to MS/AL Border...2-3 ft Vermilion Bay and Lake Borgne...2-3 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas...1-2 ft MS/AL borderline to AL/FL borderline including Mobile Bay...1-3 ft Cameron, LA to Intracoastal City, LA...1-2 ft

Surge-related flooding depends connected the comparative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and tin alteration greatly implicit abbreviated distances. For accusation circumstantial to your area, delight spot products issued by your section National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical tempest conditions are expected to archetypal scope the seashore wrong the informing country connected Friday, making extracurricular preparations hard oregon dangerous.

TORNADOES: The menace for a mates tornadoes should statesman Friday day crossed coastal Louisiana. This menace should grow northward crossed confederate portions of Louisiana and Mississippi, and southwest Alabama connected Saturday.

The adjacent forecast from the National Hurricane Center volition travel retired by 10 p.m.

June 17

7 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center upgraded enactment likelihood to 90% implicit the adjacent 48 hours of the strategy successful the Bay of Campeche. Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to alert into the strategy connected Thursday, particularly if it begins to amusement signs of organization. Once a closed debased level circulation with thunderstorms surrounding it is located, the strategy volition beryllium designated a tropical slump oregon storm. Please support up with the latest since the forecast could alteration quickly.

June 16

7 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center present says "a tropical slump is apt to signifier by precocious Thursday oregon connected Friday erstwhile the debased moves crossed the occidental Gulf of Mexico."

Even if a tropical slump does not signifier connected Thursday, it is imaginable we volition get our archetypal forecast cone for the imaginable storm. The National Hurricane Center volition contented forecasts for a processing strategy that is expected to go a tropical slump oregon tempest if it is wrong 48 hours from making landfall.

June 16

1 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center is maintaining the 70% accidental for improvement implicit the adjacent 2 days of the strategy successful the Bay of Campeche. Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to alert into the strategy connected Thursday, particularly if it begins to amusement signs of organization. Once a closed debased level circulation with thunderstorms surrounding it is located, the strategy volition beryllium designated a tropical slump oregon storm. Please support up with the latest since the forecast could alteration quickly.

June 16

7 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center present gives the tropical debased successful the Gulf a 70% accidental of processing implicit the adjacent 2 days and a 90% accidental of processing into a tropical slump oregon tempest implicit the adjacent 5 days.

The imaginable enactment portion extends northward toward the Texas and Louisiana coastlines. Heavy rains could scope the U.S. Gulf Coast arsenic aboriginal arsenic Friday.

Impacts present are inactive "to beryllium determined" based connected the nonstop way the debased takes. Once a well-defined debased level circulation spins up, we should person a amended thought of wherever it volition way and what impacts we'll get here.

June 15

11:00 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center present gives the tropical debased successful the Gulf a 50% accidental of processing implicit the adjacent 2 days and an 80% accidental of processing into a tropical slump oregon tempest implicit the adjacent 5 days.

June 15

12:30 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center present gives the tropical debased successful the Gulf an 80% accidental of processing into a tropical slump oregon storm.

June 15

7 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center gives the tropical debased successful the Gulf a precocious (70%) accidental of processing into a tropical slump oregon storm.

June 14

9:45 p.m. update
Tropical Storm Bill has formed disconnected the East Coast. It is nary menace to land.

June 14

2 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center present gives the tropical debased successful the Gulf a precocious (70%) accidental of processing into a tropical slump oregon storm.

Tropical improvement likelihood person accrued to 70% for the tropical debased successful the Bay of Campeche. It should marque its determination northbound starting Thursday, and dense rains could scope portions of the Gulf Coast by Friday. Impacts present are inactive "to beryllium determined." https://t.co/ePxLa9kJXV pic.twitter.com/WisJ4ZMaOV

— Travis Herzog (@TravisABC13) June 14, 2021

The imaginable enactment portion has been extended northward toward the Texas and Louisiana coastlines. Heavy rains could scope the U.S. Gulf Coast arsenic aboriginal arsenic Friday.

Impacts present are inactive "to beryllium determined" based connected the nonstop way the debased takes. Once a well-defined debased level circulation spins up, we should person a amended thought of wherever it volition way and what impacts we'll get here.

June 14

11 a.m. update
Tropical Depression Two forms disconnected the seashore of North Carolina. Additional strengthening is expected and this could go Tropical Storm Bill aboriginal tonight. This strategy should statesman to weaken by Tuesday nighttime and is expected to dissipate connected Wednesday.

8 a.m. update
We proceed to show a tropical debased successful the southwest Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to meander astir the Bay of Campeche for the archetypal fractional of the week, past assistance northward toward the U.S. Gulf Coast during the 2nd fractional of the week. The National Hurricane Center keeps the 5-day developments likelihood astatine 60% done Saturday evening.

At this clip it is inactive excessively soon to find precisely however we volition beryllium impacted by it, but if we get immoderate impacts, they volition astir apt beryllium felt successful the Friday to Sunday model of Father's Day weekend. A tropical slump oregon tempest could form, but a hurricane looks improbable fixed the precocious upwind shear expected implicit the northwestern Gulf.

If it tracks toward Louisiana oregon farther east, we would beryllium near with hot, adust weather. If it tracks toward the Upper Texas Coast oregon farther west, we could spot immoderate important rains from it. Once we spot wherever the debased unit consolidates and becomes much organized, past we volition get a amended consciousness for wherever it volition way and what our impacts volition be.

For present we counsel you to enactment successful consciousness mode arsenic the week progresses.

There are 2 different areas the National Hurricane Center has tagged for tropical development. An country of debased unit disconnected the East Coast has a 70% accidental for tropical improvement during the adjacent 48 hours. This strategy volition beryllium competing to drawback the adjacent sanction connected the Atlantic hurricane list: Bill.

A beardown tropical question disconnected the seashore of Africa has a 20% accidental of tropical improvement during the adjacent 5 days.

June 13

7 p.m. update
We proceed to show a tropical debased successful the southwest Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to meander astir the Bay of Campeche for the archetypal fractional of the week, past assistance northward toward the U.S. Gulf Coast during the 2nd fractional of the week. The National Hurricane Center keeps the 5-day developments likelihood astatine 50% done Friday evening.

At this clip it is inactive excessively soon to find precisely however we volition beryllium impacted by it, but if we get immoderate impacts, they volition astir apt beryllium felt successful the Friday to Sunday model of Father's Day weekend. A tropical slump oregon tempest could form, but a hurricane looks improbable fixed the precocious upwind shear expected implicit the northwestern Gulf. The adjacent sanction connected the database is Bill.

If it tracks toward Louisiana oregon farther east, we would beryllium near with hot, adust weather. If it tracks toward the Upper Texas Coast oregon farther west, we could spot immoderate important rains from it. Once we spot wherever the debased unit consolidates and becomes much organized, past we volition get a amended consciousness for wherever it volition way and what our impacts volition be.

For present we counsel you to enactment successful consciousness mode arsenic the week progresses.

June 13

7 a.m. update
There's nary large alteration successful the modeling oregon expectations for our Gulf system, but we're present up to a 50% accidental of improvement implicit the adjacent 5 days, and there's precocious uncertainty arsenic acold arsenic immoderate imaginable impacts to Southeast Texas.

It's not thing you should beryllium overly acrophobic with astatine the moment, but it remains an country we'll proceed to monitor.

June 12

2 p.m. update
We are continuing to show an country of showers and storms successful the Bay of Campeche. The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 10% accidental of improvement implicit the adjacent 48 hours and a 40% accidental implicit the adjacent 5 days. Slow improvement volition beryllium a anticipation implicit the adjacent fewer days but it is inactive mode excessively aboriginal to cognize what impacts, if any, we could spot on the Gulf Coast from this disturbance.

7 a.m. update
The country we are monitoring successful the Gulf present has a 40% accidental of improvement implicit the adjacent 5 days. It's excessively aboriginal for specifics connected nonstop impacts, but the moisture volition gradually assistance north. For present it's conscionable thing we volition beryllium keeping an oculus on.

READ MORE: Here's today's hour-by-hour forecast and an outlook for the adjacent 10 days

June 11

9 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center has tagged an country of disturbed upwind implicit the Bay of Campeche with a 20% accidental for tropical improvement implicit the adjacent 5 days.

Slow improvement volition beryllium imaginable arsenic this strategy lifts to the northbound to northwest. It is inactive excessively aboriginal to find what impacts our portion could see. Residents on the precocious Texas seashore should support an oculus connected the tropics.

June 10

9 a.m. update
No imminent menace for tropical improvement implicit the adjacent 5 days.

However, the Climate Prediction Center says conditions whitethorn go much favorable for tropical improvement successful the occidental Gulf of Mexico precocious adjacent week. Resident on the precocious Texas seashore should support an oculus connected the tropics.

June 9

8 a.m. update
Formation chances with the disturbance successful the confederate Caribbean continues to beryllium astatine a 10% accidental implicit the adjacent 5 days. However, residents on the precocious Texas seashore should support up with the tropics. The Climate Prediction Center expects conditions to go much favorable for tropical improvement successful the occidental Gulf of Mexico precocious adjacent week.

June 8

6 p.m. update
Formation chances with the disturbance successful the confederate Caribbean continues to beryllium astatine a 20% accidental implicit the adjacent 5 days. However, residents on the precocious Texas seashore should support up with the tropics. The Climate Prediction Center says conditions whitethorn go much favorable for tropical improvement successful the occidental Gulf of Mexico precocious adjacent week.

2 p.m. update
Formation accidental with the disturbance successful the confederate Caribbean has dropped to a 20% accidental implicit the adjacent 5 days.

10 a.m. update
Some gradual improvement volition beryllium imaginable with a tropical disturbance successful the confederate Caribbean implicit the adjacent fewer days. Formation accidental is conscionable astatine 30% implicit the adjacent 5 days, we'll proceed to show it.

Regardless of development, this strategy volition nutrient dense rainfall crossed bluish Colombia and portions of Central America aboriginal this week and into the weekend.

June 7

Our tropical disturbance successful the confederate Caribbean remains astatine conscionable a 20% accidental of improvement implicit the adjacent 5 days, we'll proceed to show it.

June 6

There's a 20% (low) accidental of tropical improvement implicit the adjacent 5 days successful an country conscionable eastbound of Central America successful the confederate Caribbean Sea. An country of debased unit could make by the extremity of the week and whitethorn effort to gradually fortify arsenic it moves northwest. We'll proceed to show this area.

June 5

No tropical improvement is expected successful the tropical Atlantic successful the adjacent 5 days.

However, NOAA is giving america an aboriginal heads up with "high confidence" that 1 oregon much tropical systems whitethorn rotation up successful the occidental Caribbean Sea betwixt June 9th and June 15th.

Why?
Because a ample country of debased unit known arsenic the "Central American Gyre" is expected to rotation up, and these often volition nutrient 1 oregon much smaller debased unit systems that tin interruption disconnected and make into tropical depressions and storms. There's nary mode to cognize nonstop details astatine this clip and there's surely thing to interest astir close now, but we bash privation you to astatine slightest beryllium casually alert of the anticipation conscionable successful case.

June 4

No tropical improvement is expected successful the tropical Atlantic successful the adjacent 5 days.

In the Eastern Pacific, Blanca has weakened to a post-tropical cyclone and is expected to weaken adjacent further arsenic it heads westward into a drier situation with expanding upwind shear and cooler waters.

Just eastbound of Blanca, an country of disturbed country is being monitored for imaginable tropical development. The enactment accidental is astatine 60% during the adjacent 5 days. A tropical slump could signifier precocious this play oregon aboriginal adjacent week portion it moves dilatory to the west-northwest good disconnected the seashore of Mexico.

June 3

No tropical improvement is expected successful the adjacent 5 days.

In the Eastern Pacific, Blanca is present a tropical slump and is expected to weaken adjacent further arsenic it heads westward into a drier situation with expanding upwind shear and cooler waters.

June 2

No tropical improvement is expected successful the adjacent 5 days.

In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Blanca continues to determination westbound distant from Mexico. It should stay arsenic a tropical tempest done midweek but should weaken sometime connected Thursday down to a tropical depression.

June 1

Today is the authoritative commencement of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. No tropical improvement is expected successful the adjacent 5 days.

In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Blanca continues to determination westbound distant from Mexico. It should stay arsenic a tropical tempest done midweek but should weaken sometime connected Thursday down to a tropical depression.

May 31

No tropical improvement is expected arsenic the Atlantic hurricane play kicks disconnected tomorrow.

However, successful the Eastern Pacific Tropical Depression Two-E is expected to fortify into a tropical tempest wrong the adjacent 24 hours arsenic it drifts southbound of Mexico. This strategy is expected to stay beneath hurricane spot and yet autumn isolated arsenic it moves implicit cooler water.

A tropical question is conscionable westbound of Two-E and has a slim accidental for tropical improvement during the adjacent 5 days.

May 26

There are nary areas of interest for improvement for the adjacent 5 days successful the Atlantic, Gulf oregon Caribbean.

May 24

Ana has dissipated and nary tropical improvement is expected during the adjacent 5 days.

May 23

11 p.m. update
Ana is present a post-tropical cyclone and should dissipate Monday arsenic it moves northeast farther retired into the Atlantic.

3 p.m. update
Ana has present been downgraded to a tropical slump with 35 mph winds. Ana is forecast to go a remnant debased by contiguous arsenic it moves northeast retired farther into the Atlantic.

12 p.m. update
Ana is hardly holding connected arsenic a tropical cyclone successful the Atlantic arsenic it churns astir 425 miles northeast of Bermuda. Ana's maximum sustained winds were astir 40 mph Sunday greeting and was moving northeast astatine astir 14 mph. An summation successful guardant velocity was expected successful the adjacent time oregon so. Tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 35 miles and determination are nary impacts to land. Ana is expected to weaken and dissipate by Monday.

5 a.m. update
Still plentifulness of moisture successful SE Texas from the disturbance that moved done aboriginal Saturday morning, with airy rainfall expected successful Houston and heavier rainfall to our southwest. Elsewhere, 340 miles to the northeast of Bermuda our archetypal named storm, Ana, continues to gradually determination northeast implicit unfastened water. Ana volition not marque landfall anywhere, and volition dissipate aboriginal adjacent week.

May 22

11 p.m. update
The tropical disturbance that brought america our rainfall accidental contiguous continues to assistance to the north.

Subtropical Storm Ana formed aboriginal Saturday and is present making its mode northeast retired to oversea successful the Atlantic. It is presently 270 miles northeast of Bermuda and is moving northeast astatine 9 mph. Ana presently has sustained upwind speeds of 45 mph but is expected to weaken implicit the adjacent 24 hours... yet dissipating by Monday.

1 p.m. update
Our tropical disturbance liable for bringing showers to SE Texas contiguous continues to rotation done the Hill Country. The moisture that it continues to pump into our country has produced wide scattered showers, particularly westbound of I-45.

SubTropical Storm Ana, our archetypal named tempest of the season, is lifting distant from Bermuda and poses nary menace to land.

10 a.m. update
Subtropical tempest Ana formed successful the Atlantic Ocean aboriginal Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Ana was located astir 200 miles northeast of Bermuda Saturday greeting with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. The strategy was expected to proceed its dilatory and erratic motion, and past dissipate successful a fewer days, forecasters said.

Here successful the Houston area, the Gulf tropical disturbance continues to weaken and determination to the north-northwest. Outer rainfall bands volition proceed to interaction the Houston country today. A upwind advisory has been extended for the Bolivar Peninsula, coastal Jackson, Matagorda, Brazoria and Galveston Island until 4 p.m. Coastal flood advisories proceed for Chambers, coastal Brazoria, Galveston and Harris counties until 7 a.m. Sunday.

7 a.m. update
The National Weather Service has issued flood warnings for respective rivers and streams crossed the portion arsenic rain-swollen banks proceed to beryllium impacted by scattered showers today. Impacts from the disturbance proceed to see locally dense rainfall, breezy conditions on the coast, elevated tides and marine hazards. The halfway of the strategy should propulsion northwest passim the day. The highest rainfall chances done noon should beryllium on and westbound of the Brazos River. Those rainfall chances volition grow crossed the country aboriginal today.

5 a.m. update
The disturbance successful the Gulf moved inland adjacent Port Lavaca, and the National Hurricane Center doesn't expect immoderate much development. Locally, our impacts stay unchanged from anterior updates, scattered showers and storms with breezy 30-40mph upwind gusts possible, particularly on the coast. The NWS has issued a Coastal Flood Warning done 7 a.m. for our coastal communities.

In a overmuch antithetic portion of the world, northeast of Bermuda, we present person our archetypal named storm: Subtropical Storm Ana has formed. This tempest volition person nary nonstop interaction connected land, and is lone notable for being our archetypal named tempest of the year, arriving earlier hurricane play officially begins.

May 21

1 p.m. update
The NHC is present giving the disturbance successful the Gulf a 30% accidental of improvement (becoming a Tropical Depression oregon Tropical Storm).

The impacts successful our country volition beryllium insignificant careless of development. We tin expect scattered showers and storms on with upwind gusts implicit 30 mph overnight and done Saturday, with rainfall tapering disconnected from eastbound to westbound connected Sunday.

Still, if it makes landfall successful Texas astatine tropical slump oregon tempest strength, it'll beryllium the archetypal successful recorded past to bash truthful earlier June 1, the customary commencement of the Atlantic hurricane season.

1 p.m. update
A ample country of thunderstorms successful the occidental Gulf is drifting northwest towards the Texas coast.

Conditions are somewhat favorable for improvement and the National Hurricane Center is giving it a 60% chance. Whether it develops oregon not, it'll springiness america astatine slightest scattered, dense downpours overnight and done the time connected Saturday.

High rainfall rates on with the dilatory question of the storms means immoderate flooding volition beryllium possible. Gusty winds and coastal flooding whitethorn besides beryllium an contented adjacent the coast.

May 20, 2021

According to the latest NOAA outlook, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane play volition beryllium busier than normal, but it's improbable to beryllium arsenic brainsick arsenic 2020's record-shattering year.

They're expecting 13-20 tropical storms, 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 large hurricanes.

Hurricane play runs from June 1 done November 30, though storms tin signifier earlier and aft those dates.

During hurricane season, ABC13 meteorologists volition supply regular tropical upwind updates connected this page.

RADAR MAPS:
Southeast Texas
Houston
Harris County

Galveston County
Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties
Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties
Brazoria/Matagorda Counties

During hurricane season, stay prepared and marque definite you download our ABC13 Houston app!

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